Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.630162 0.714573 0.804603 0.907608 1.022025 1.145047 1.287154
2025-08-31 0.495157 0.611159 0.744041 0.906819 1.100097 1.321477 1.593412
2025-09-07 0.406505 0.542841 0.709601 0.926872 1.200564 1.531817 1.960760
2025-09-14 0.327953 0.472297 0.660197 0.919522 1.264422 1.703212 2.298806
2025-09-21 0.274839 0.424733 0.631424 0.932045 1.351840 1.910027 2.699546
2025-09-28 0.225344 0.373049 0.588375 0.917597 1.398875 2.065578 3.044919
2025-10-05 0.199696 0.351570 0.584159 0.955659 1.520654 2.331202 3.560537
2025-10-12 0.178088 0.332381 0.579891 0.991617 1.640982 2.602734 4.104132
2025-10-19 0.154537 0.305738 0.559686 0.999259 1.717407 2.814058 4.573777
2025-10-26 0.134147 0.280898 0.538544 1.001781 1.784223 3.013791 5.037907
2025-11-02 0.116904 0.258687 0.518492 1.002861 1.847177 3.210120 5.507896
2025-11-09 0.102201 0.238690 0.499378 1.002603 1.906453 3.402964 5.982893
2025-11-16 0.090046 0.221949 0.484442 1.008753 1.978311 3.623397 6.520894
2025-11-23 0.077964 0.203128 0.462878 0.999930 2.022465 3.800204 6.998391
2025-11-30 0.070085 0.192147 0.455326 1.016686 2.113799 4.062937 7.635780
2025-12-07 0.060802 0.176072 0.434929 1.005528 2.151630 4.234165 8.126223
2025-12-14 0.054569 0.166184 0.426317 1.017043 2.233068 4.487476 8.773811
2025-12-21 0.047151 0.151709 0.405397 1.000179 2.257004 4.637109 9.245136
2025-12-28 0.044302 0.148892 0.410816 1.040401 2.398009 5.011421 10.141914
2026-01-04 0.041558 0.145825 0.415192 1.078600 2.537547 5.390789 11.067416
2026-01-11 0.037448 0.137923 0.406640 1.086485 2.614234 5.654121 11.790703
2026-01-18 0.033551 0.129791 0.396318 1.088983 2.679287 5.898122 12.489572
2026-01-25 0.030041 0.122068 0.385914 1.090009 2.740861 6.138273 13.192657